Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.061388 0.072643 0.085261 0.100440 0.118189 0.138270 0.162699
2025-05-11 0.044453 0.059055 0.077279 0.101626 0.133226 0.172776 0.225951
2025-05-18 0.035518 0.051625 0.073468 0.105096 0.149542 0.209573 0.296573
2025-05-25 0.027677 0.043408 0.066283 0.101716 0.154908 0.231418 0.349351
2025-06-01 0.022919 0.038403 0.062321 0.101584 0.163959 0.258616 0.412350
2025-06-08 0.019084 0.033953 0.058212 0.100169 0.170290 0.281910 0.471803
2025-06-15 0.016796 0.031544 0.056822 0.102639 0.182753 0.315815 0.551691
2025-06-22 0.014366 0.028408 0.053623 0.101398 0.188569 0.339232 0.616774
2025-06-29 0.012202 0.025344 0.050015 0.098760 0.191351 0.357489 0.674766
2025-07-06 0.010354 0.022543 0.046415 0.095509 0.192389 0.372492 0.728337
2025-07-13 0.009394 0.021355 0.045706 0.097643 0.203745 0.407416 0.822367
2025-07-20 0.008424 0.019969 0.044375 0.098292 0.212179 0.437631 0.910669
2025-07-27 0.007530 0.018621 0.042970 0.098697 0.220402 0.468846 1.005605
2025-08-03 0.006827 0.017588 0.042093 0.100119 0.230977 0.506085 1.117319
2025-08-10 0.006352 0.017014 0.042144 0.103594 0.246415 0.555075 1.259044
2025-08-17 0.005502 0.015350 0.039416 0.100270 0.246217 0.570798 1.331429
2025-08-24 0.004952 0.014355 0.038125 0.100143 0.253297 0.603096 1.443709
2025-08-31 0.004405 0.013265 0.036424 0.098748 0.257156 0.628544 1.543324
2025-09-07 0.004106 0.012804 0.036255 0.101183 0.270627 0.677498 1.702486
2025-09-14 0.003679 0.011895 0.034764 0.099959 0.274767 0.704917 1.813747
2025-09-21 0.003249 0.010896 0.032867 0.097358 0.275010 0.722924 1.904199
2025-09-28 0.002851 0.009914 0.030860 0.094151 0.273213 0.735652 1.982958
2025-10-05 0.002673 0.009601 0.030734 0.096256 0.286070 0.786804 2.164486